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Lower oil price ‘double-edged sword’ for Egypt

If oil prices remain low, it is likely that its Gulf patrons will be forced to reduce some of their funding.
24.12.14

The fall in global oil prices will cut Egypt's fuel subsidy bill but could hit the finances of oil-exporting Gulf allies who have showered it with billions of dollars in aid.

Oil has dropped dramatically over the past six months, with Brent crude trading at $60.87 a barrel on Tuesday, down 47 percent from this year's peak just over $115 in June.

If it stays at that level, the government expects to save 30 billion Egyptian pounds ($4.2 billion) on fuel subsidies for its 86 million people in the 2014-15 fiscal year. But that is less than half the total Gulf aid it received in the last fiscal year alone.

“This is a double-edged sword,” said Justin Dargin, a Middle East energy expert at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

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